Live from the USGS global catalog

Is the Earth really shaking more?

It feels like there are more big earthquakes lately. This page checks that against the actual record — every recorded quake of magnitude 4.5 and above, worldwide, straight from the U.S. Geological Survey. No interpretation, no cherry-picked window. Change the filters and the charts recalculate in front of you.

Reading the catalog…

Loading global earthquake data

Fetching year-by-year from the USGS. Charts appear as each year lands.

01 — Year by year

Every year, side by side

Each bar is one year, split by how strong the quakes were. The dashed line is the average across the completed years shown. If earthquakes were genuinely increasing, the bars would climb from left to right. Watch whether they do.

02 — Month by month

The month-to-month picture

The faint line is the raw monthly count — spiky, because one big quake sets off hundreds of aftershocks in the weeks after it. The bright line is the rolling 12-month average, which cancels that noise out. That bright line is the trend. A rising Earth would show a rising bright line.

03 — Broken out by strength

Each magnitude class on its own scale

Small quakes outnumber large ones roughly ten to one per step of magnitude, so on a shared axis the big ones vanish. Here each class gets its own scale, so a real rise in major quakes can't hide behind the volume of small ones. Each panel shows the rolling 12-month average.

04 — The ones you heard about

Largest events in the current selection

These are the quakes that make the news. Tags come from the USGS PAGER system, which estimates likely damage and casualties. Click any row for the official event page.

05 — The raw numbers

Read it as a table

Every figure behind the charts, so nothing is locked inside a tooltip.

How to read this honestly

Why the current year is compared on a "same window" basis

The year in progress is not finished, so comparing its running total against completed years would always make it look low. By default this page compares 1 January → today against exactly that same calendar window in every earlier year. Switch "Compare" to whole calendar years if you'd rather see full totals, and the unfinished year is marked as partial.

Why counts before ~2005 are not comparable to today

The global seismic network has grown enormously. More stations mean more quakes detected — especially moderate ones in remote ocean regions that simply went unrecorded decades ago. So an upward slope over a multi-decade window can be measuring instrument coverage, not seismicity. This is why the page defaults to the last 10 years, where the network is broadly stable. If you widen the period, treat the early years as undercounts.

Why single years spike — aftershocks, not a restless planet

One magnitude 8 earthquake generates hundreds of aftershocks above magnitude 4.5 over the following months. A single great quake can therefore lift an entire year's count on its own. That's why a spike in the raw monthly line usually traces back to one event, and why the rolling 12-month average is the more honest read of whether anything is actually changing.

What the impact filters actually cover

Significance (sig) and the tsunami flag are set for every event. The PAGER alert level and shaking intensity are only computed for events USGS considers significant — verified coverage is about 9% of magnitude 4.5+ events but 100% of magnitude 6+, which is where damage actually happens. "Felt" counts come from public Did You Feel It? reports, so they reflect where people live and have internet as much as where the ground shook. An absence of red alerts at low magnitudes means "not assessed", not "no damage".

Where every number here comes from

All figures are fetched live in your browser from the USGS FDSN event API, the public interface to the ANSS Comprehensive Catalog — the same catalog seismologists cite. Nothing is precomputed or stored on a server. Events flagged by USGS as quarry blasts, explosions or other non-earthquake sources are excluded. For the definitive reviewed record, the International Seismological Centre catalogue is the reference, though it runs roughly two years behind because it is human-reviewed.